Travel Wizard

ProHub Comment

This case requires candidates to estimate demand for a disruptive technology by analyzing current airline passenger data and applying churn assumptions to different customer segments. The key insight is recognizing that first-class passengers have the highest willingness to switch (80% churn), creating disproportionate revenue impact despite smaller passenger volumes. Candidates must combine market sizing, financial analysis, and strategic thinking about competitive response.

Estimated Time 15 minutes
Difficulty Medium
Source IESE
50 / 100

The R&D team of Travel Wizard, a technology innovator, just announced that they have successfully invented a teleportation device which they plan to launch commercially next month. This device consists of a transmission room and a receiver room which can be placed at any distance and this one-of-a-kind device will be able transport a passenger between the two rooms within seconds.

Your client is the owner & CEO of SG Airlines, one of the biggest airlines in the world and she wants to know a few things: (1) How many customers should they expect to lose to Travel Wizard? (2) What will be their annual reduction in profit as a result?

Clarifying Information

  1. Assume that SG Airlines loses customers only to Travel Wizard and to no other player
  2. Travel Wizard only has 2 teleportation rooms for now, and does not intend to create any new teleportation rooms
  3. One room will be placed in New York, while the other one will be placed in London. Each room can act as a transmitter or a receiver room
  4. The main objective for the owner/CEO of SG Airlines is to calculate the loss in profit and to give ideas to turnaround the business
  5. SG Airlines is not looking to enter the teleportation business