Sample Framework
1. Overall passenger volumes and trends
A. Domestic travel
- Expansion of domestic air travel, long distance flights connecting major cities
- Bus transportation, a cheap and comfortable alternative
- Individual travel, expansion of road and affordability of vehicles; increase of liveable wage
B. International travel
- Changes in demographics (younger demo using different modes of transportation)
- Potential growth in foreign international railway
2. Frequency of railway trips and change over time
A. Change in travel behavior
- Frequency of daily work trips (growth in remote and hybrid work)
- Growing amenities in small cities (housing, workplaces, schools) may reduce need for train
- New transportation: ridesharing, motorcycles, bikes, car rentals
B. Change in destinations
- With major cities connected by air, only smaller cities /rural may need rail links
- Trends may favor frequent, short trips over long-distance journeys
3. Average price in railway passenger ticket
A. Tickets
- Sales by service class (economy, deluxe ect.)
- Sales by train type (standard, high-end)
- Sales by destination (short vs. long, direct vs. with connections)
- Sales by departure time
- Share of non-refundable and subsidized tickets (senior discounts, other programs)
4. Non-ticket element of railway fare
A. Other Purchases
- Decline in purchases of additional onboard services (e.g., food, drinks, media, internet)