A Durham nightclub facing declining profits since 2020 needs to reverse profitability from 11% back to 2019 levels of 29%. Analysis reveals a revenue problem, not costs. A lower-priced competitor (Froot) has captured price-sensitive customers. The solution is a targeted $7 entry fee discount for young professionals, the segment with highest frequency and lowest current market share, which generates sufficient incremental revenue to restore target profitability.
Key Insights:
- Profitability decline is a revenue issue (both ticket and non-ticket revenues declining proportionally) not a cost issue
- Per-customer spending ($30 at Skooters vs $25 at Froot) is similar, so the problem is visitor volume, not spend per visitor
- Young professionals offer the best ROI for a price discount because they have the largest addressable market (63,000), highest visit frequency (12 visits/person), and lowest current market share (2%), creating the most upside from market share gains
- Targeted discounting is preferable to broad price cuts as it preserves revenue from less price-sensitive segments (Duke students)