A professional evaluates whether to return to consulting ($125K-$175K salary) or open a rock-climbing gym business. Through market analysis of gym types (bouldering vs. sport) and state-level supply/revenue data, the candidate determines that opening a bouldering gym in Oregon yields $3M in profits over 10 years, exceeding consulting compensation.
Key Insights:
- Bouldering gyms, despite smaller supply, generate majority revenue per unit compared to sport climbing gyms
- Revenue-per-gym analysis (total state revenue divided by gym count) reveals Oregon as the most attractive market at $1M per bouldering gym
- Financial modeling should account for capital costs, variable costs as percentage of revenue, and fixed costs to compare long-term profitability across options
- Risk mitigation requires competitive differentiation through branding and partnerships as market becomes crowded