High Quality Bottles seeks to enter the hospitality toiletries market by supplying 50 local hotels with shampoos, conditioners, body wash, and lotions. The candidate must calculate year-one market size by determining total bottles needed (initial stocking plus replenishment based on occupancy rates and guest usage), then multiply by price per bottle ($0.50) to arrive at total market value (~$912k-$948k).
Key Insights:
- Market sizing requires two components: initial order (all rooms × bottles per room) and replenishment (occupancy × turnover × usage per stay × weeks per year)
- Must distinguish between unit volume and dollar value, with the client specifically focused on revenue dollars
- Future attractiveness depends on whether 25%+ profit margins are achievable, which requires understanding cost structure (raw materials, labor, distribution) not included in initial market sizing
- Raw material price fluctuations in plastics manufacturing represent a significant risk to profitability in this low-margin hospitality supply business