Lactose King, a 3,000-location premium ice cream chain, needs to increase revenue by 33% ($250M) from $750M to $1B within one year. Through demographic analysis, candidates identify the 18-32 year-old market as the highest-potential segment, discover that low-calorie options are underserved despite high importance to this demographic, and recommend introducing a sugar-free ice cream product that would generate $400M in net revenue while accounting for 33% cannibalization of existing sales.
Key Insights:
- Market segmentation by demographic is critical—the 18-32 age group offers the best combination of market size, LK market penetration, and market fragmentation
- Customer needs analysis (Exhibit #2) reveals a gap between importance (low-calorie is highly valued) and LK’s current performance (underperforming on low-calorie offerings)
- Cannibalization must be modeled explicitly—the recommendation accounts for 33% cannibalization but the net $400M revenue still exceeds the $250M target
- Quantitative rigor is essential: candidates must calculate total addressable market size and work backward from the $1B revenue target to validate feasibility