Alpha Aviation is a struggling US commercial airline seeking to improve profitability and market share. The case involves evaluating three potential new routes (Seattle-Minneapolis, Fayetteville-Dallas, NYC-DC) based on strategic considerations and financial projections. Candidates must analyze upfront costs, route economics per ASM (Available Seat Miles), and strategic factors like competition, growth potential, and operational risk to make a recommendation.
Key Insights:
- Airline economics use Available Seat Miles (ASM) as a key metric to normalize revenue and costs across different route distances and aircraft sizes
- Route selection involves balancing multiple trade-offs: high growth potential vs. operational risk, low competition vs. time to establish operations, and contribution margin vs. upfront investment
- Financial analysis should consider both per-unit economics (CM/ASM) and total volume potential (flights per day, capacity, fill rates) to calculate annual profitability
- Strategic considerations like hub creation, competitive response, and seasonal risk are as important as pure financial metrics in airline route planning