Framework should identify profit and capital as components of ROC (traditional profit tree w/o capital is not sufficient)
- MBS Co.’s fee as a percent of mortgage volume has been consistent since last year, and the fee percent is consistent for all mortgages (regardless of riskiness)
- Internal costs (e.g. SG&A) are negligible
- Regulations have not changed
A good framework will call out competition (other buyers of mortgages) and/or vertical integration in the value chain
- No new competitors have entered the market; the government only allows MBS Co. and its one competitor to create MBS
- Banks have begun holding more mortgages (if candidate asks about this, indicate it will be discussed later in the case)
A good interviewee will note market conditions as a potential reason for the decrease in ROC but will recognize this is not a lever MBS Co. can use to increase ROC going forward
- All market conditions have remained consistent since last year
Example framework:
- Mortgage riskiness (borrower credit worthiness)
- Pricing pressure from banks
- Fee pressure from investors
- Internal costs
ROC
- Regulatory requirements
- Excess cash build-up
- Build-up of unsecuritable mortgages (i.e. bought from bank but can’t turn into MBS)
Capital
- Interest rates, yield curve
- Oversupply of housing
- Consumer housing preferences
Market
- New entrant
- Competitor pricing/fees
- Customer/supplier vertical integration (e.g. banks hold mortgages)
Competition