- Develop a structure to address the problem
Market Entry divided into:
Qualitative branch:
- Impact on ranking
- Brand Kellogg & Kellogg India
- Cannibalisation
- Job Prospects, ROI
Quantitative branch (Market sizing):
- Revenue
- Costs
- Fixed: Salaries, Marketing, SGA
- Variable: Cost/student
- Confirm market attractiveness (size)
A. Estimate the Total Addressable Market from competition
- IIMs
- 500,000 applications per year
- Top 6% are interviewed = 30,000 applicants
- 1 in 5 are accepted = 6,000 eligible students
- ISB
- 1,400 matriculated students / 70% of total admitted students = 2,000 eligible students
- If interviewee gets this wrong, ask which student pool are we most interested in: matriculated students or all accepted students.
Total Addressable Market = 6,000 + 2,000 = 8,000 high quality applicants
B. Market Size
Fee to be charged annually needs to be calculated. A value somewhere in between $20,000 and $70,000 is acceptable. $50,000 per year for 2 years: 8,000 * $50,000 * 2 = $800M
- Market share and breakeven analysis
- The candidate should mention a target market share in the year of launch. A lower number would be preferable to start with. After letting the candidate present their logic, ask them to assume 7.5% market share in the year of launch.
Provide the information below when requested:
- Breakeven Analysis: Expected breakeven in 4 years
Provide Exhibit B when asked about Revenue
- The candidate should note that from the second year onwards, last year’s fee should be included in the current year.
Provide Exhibit C after Cost brainstorming
- Conduct risk analysis
Risk categories:
- Brand impact: No top US schools is successful in India; Satellite campus might dilute brand
- Rankings impact: Diversity, International presence, Proximity to Asia, Job prospects
- Cannibalisation: 50-60 Indian students matriculate at Kellogg US; Impact on US MBA candidate pool across Asia
- Brand parity: Kellogg US MBA = Kellogg India MBA
- Job prospects: Premium for Kellogg India versus IIM / ISB
- Support: Parent campus pedagogical support for satellites