BuildCo seeks international expansion to reduce Brazilian exposure. After narrowing to four South American markets based on business environment and pipeline strength, the case requires comparing greenfield investment versus acquisition, ultimately recommending greenfield entry due to superior financial returns (14% ROIC vs 12%, 7-year vs 8-year payback).
Key Insights:
- Geospatial analysis combining infrastructure pipeline and ease of doing business can filter markets effectively
- Financial modeling should compare multiple metrics (ROIC, payback period, profitability) rather than relying on single indicator
- First-mover greenfield investments can outperform acquisitions despite higher capital requirements when M&A targets are overpriced relative to market fundamentals
- Government customers introduce political risk and timing uncertainty that must be factored into market entry timing and strategy