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Hard Strategy Profitability

Fringe Science

#Healthcare #Pharmaceuticals
ProHub Comment

This is a complex multi-stage pharmaceutical strategy case requiring candidates to synthesize market sizing, competitive positioning, clinical trial economics, and pricing strategy. The case tests both quantitative rigor (profit calculations across different scenarios) and qualitative judgment (market share assumptions based on clinical profiles and competitive dynamics).

Estimated Time 15 minutes
Difficulty Hard
Source Duke
50 / 100
Massive Dynamic is a multi-national pharmaceutical company. One of their assets, Cortexiphan, is an anti-infective that successfully treats three major types of hospital-born illness and is currently in Phase II clinical trials. Unfortunately, Massive Dynamic only has the capital to finance a Phase III clinical trial for one of the three illnesses with Cortexiphan treats. Walter Bishop, Chief Medical Officer of Massive Dynamic, has enlisted your help to decide which of the three possible indications for cortexiphan they should pursue to maximize profits over a five year-period post-launch.

Clarifying Information

  1. Drug is only likely to be approved in the US at this time
  2. Drug will be sold directly to hospitals by Massive Dynamic; therefore, no need to consider distribution channel costs, etc.
  3. No need to calculate based on NPV, just do total over five years w/out discounting
  4. Provide Exhibit 1 when asked about market size and/or competition
  5. Provide Exhibit 2 when asked about development costs or clinical profile
  6. Provide Exhibit 3 after an initial indication selected and pricing prompt given