Fixing Silverland

ProHub Comment

This case tests the candidate's ability to balance macroeconomic theory with political economy constraints. The core insight—that inflation correlates with currency issuance (0.9) but not external debt (0.1)—requires candidates to recognize that IMF financing, despite public stigma, offers a mathematically superior solution (4% vs 18% private sector costs). The case emphasizes stakeholder management and the difficult trade-offs between electoral viability and economic stabilization.

Estimated Time 15 minutes
Difficulty Medium
Source IESE
50 / 100

The government of Silverland, an imaginary South American nation, has approached us requesting a consultation. Upon taking office in 20x5, they promised to combat inflation. However, by 20x8, the country still grapples with high inflation rates (over 40%) and widespread public dissatisfaction. Silverland’s government recognizes its substantial public deficits, mainly financed with currency issuance, but has found it challenging to address them without generating negative public reactions to cost-cutting measures. In search of a solution to this crisis, the government is considering seeking assistance, potentially including financial support from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). With an election looming in 20x9, the current administration aims for a victorious outcome.

How can the President of Silverland effectively address the ongoing crisis and stabilize its economy?

Clarifying Information

  1. Context - How much debt the currently government has? – Very little, you can assume current external debt is $50bn (Only 10% of GDP - $500bn)
  2. Objective - What is the main objective of the government? – Implement a plan that will sustainable close the fiscal gap without increasing inflation
  3. Country structure – The country produces mainly agricultural products and no immediate productivity shocks or growth solutions are expected