Fastcar, a luxury automotive company, seeks to enter the Pakistan market and must choose between shipping cars from Europe or building a local production plant. Through market sizing analysis, the case reveals a 440,000 car annual market opportunity, with 50% penetration achievable in 3 years generating €16.5B revenue. Cost analysis shows that local production saves €26.7B over 5 years compared to European imports, making local production the recommended strategy despite higher upfront investment and execution risks.
Key Insights:
- Market sizing requires clear assumptions about population, household wealth distribution, and vehicle lifecycle to estimate addressable market
- Revenue forecasting combines market penetration rates with pricing strategy (competitor-based pricing used at €75k per vehicle)
- Cost comparison must account for production costs, transportation, customs duties, and investment across both scenarios to quantify the economic advantage
- Strategic recommendation balances financial metrics with qualitative factors like brand reputation and supply chain resilience
- Risk identification around factory construction timelines, talent acquisition, and supply chain setup is critical for implementation success