Fabio, a skilled hairstylist in Chicago, wants to launch Salon Snapshot combining hair services and professional headshots. The case requires market sizing for the addressable haircut market (9,000 potential customers switching), calculating realistic business capacity (2,000 haircuts/year = 3.7% market share), and evaluating expansion options (hiring stylists, extending hours, adding services) with associated risks and mitigation strategies.
Key Insights:
- Market sizing requires filtering total population through willingness-to-pay and switching rates to determine realistic addressable market, not just raw market size
- Capacity constraints for a solo operator are severe—even with 100% utilization, Fabio can only serve 3.7% of his addressable market, highlighting the need for expansion to achieve growth
- Expansion decisions involve classic trade-offs: hiring stylists increases revenue but introduces management complexity and capital costs; Fabio must prioritize based on core competency retention and capital constraints
- Risk mitigation strategies should address founder constraints (Fabio has never managed others) by bringing in experienced managers rather than stretching Fabio into new roles