Part 1
- Analyze historical growth and brainstorm growth strategies
Organic:
- Increase penetration with US military
- Product development – develop new products for the military
- New market entry to new markets or customers
- Increase / reduce prices (based on demand elasticity)
Inorganic:
- Joint Venture – to increase market accessibility or product offering.
- M&A – add additional capacity and/or products.
Part 2a
2a. Explore attractiveness of prototype products
To calculate the revenue for each scenario, the interviewee should add Assessor sales to the sales of the new product.
Assessor sales are based on:
- 50 units sold with no new product launch
- Cannibalization forecast specific to each new product launch
- $110,000 per aircraft
New product sales can be easily calculated using shortcuts. For example:
- SeaBird: $220k * 100 = $22m… then half of this
- SandBird: $210k * 100 = $21m… then half of it and add (10% of $21m)
- JointBird: Add to get 90… then $180k*100 = $18m, subtract (10% of $18m)
Part 2b
2b. Explore attractiveness of prototype products
The introduction of a new aircraft will have a negative impact on Assessor sales. Which aircraft should Dark Sky produce?
Assessor Sales (Units, Revenue):
- No new product = 50 aircraft, $5,500,000
- With SeaBird = 50 + (50 * (-40%)) = 50 - 20 = 30 aircraft, $3,300,000
- With SandBird = 50 + (50 * (-70%)) = 50 - 35 = 15 aircraft, $1,650,000
- With JointBird = 50 + (50 * (-90%)) = 50 - 45 = 5 aircraft, $550,000
New Product Revenue:
- SeaBird = 50 * $220,000 = $11,000,000
- SandBird = 60 * $210,000 = $12,600,000
- JointBird = (38 + 52) * $180,000 = 90 * $180,000 = $16,200,000
Total Revenue:
- Assessor Only = $5,500,000
- Assessor and SeaBird = $3,300,000 + $11,000,000 = $14,300,000
- Assessor and SandBird = $1,650,000 + $12,600,000 = $14,250,000
- Assessor and JointBird = $550,000 + $16,200,000 = $16,750,000
Part 3
3. Brainstorm other product selection considerations
Development
- Speed: How quickly could Dark Sky start manufacturing a third model (i.e. can Dark Sky produce SandBird this year, and be producing SandBird and SeaBird the following year)? If so, what are the revenue implications?
- Costs: How profitable are the four aircraft models in comparison? Note: Because Dark Sky has a Cost-Plus-Fixed-Fee contract, profitability for each aircraft is likely equivalent. For this reason, Dark Sky should focus on maximizing the number of aircraft sold. • How much and how long is the payback period for the investment in manufacturing each type aircraft?
Portfolio
- If Dark Sky produces JointBird, is $550,000 in Assessor revenue worth the associated cost to produce the aircraft? Should resources be allocated to another project?
Customer
- Potential benefits of have two customer bases for new product (Navy and Army).