Seven Flags seeks to launch a separate admission ticket for its animal experience section. Candidates must determine optimal pricing, quantify cannibalization effects, calculate incremental profit, and evaluate payback period against management’s 10-year hurdle rate. The analysis reveals that a $16 ticket price maximizes incremental revenue (~$1M annually) and yields a 9.5-year payback, just meeting requirements—though success is sensitive to cannibalization assumptions.
Key Insights:
- Price elasticity analysis is central: Demand decreases significantly with price, but revenue is maximized at $16 (not at lower prices), illustrating the revenue-volume tradeoff
- Cannibalization is the critical assumption: At 50% cannibalization, incremental profit is generated from 50% of new visitors; higher actual cannibalization dramatically worsens the payback period
- Payback period constraint acts as the decision filter: The project barely meets the 10-year hurdle, leaving minimal safety margin and making it sensitive to adverse changes in key assumptions
- Revenue source diversification matters: Incremental F&B and merchandise sales could meaningfully improve payback, making it worth investigating as a next step