P&G must decide whether to launch a hypoallergenic, eco-friendly silicone menstrual cup by calculating market size, evaluating customer demand, determining breakeven pricing that accounts for cannibalization of existing tampon/pad sales, and assessing launch feasibility against customer willingness-to-pay.
Key Insights:
- Market sizing requires a top-down approach: US population → female population → menstruating age range → willingness to adopt → addressable market at comparable price point
- Survey data showing 40% uncertain demand presents an opportunity to capture additional market share through marketing, requiring adjustment of initial market size estimates
- Cannibalization analysis is critical: must quantify revenue loss from existing tampon/pad sales against complementary product sales (wash, wipes, discs) to determine breakeven cup price (~$25-30)
- Pricing strategy must balance customer willingness-to-pay against cannibalization risk; complementary products can offset some losses from substitution
- Launch feasibility depends on validating that sufficient customers are willing to pay the calculated breakeven price, with P&G confident they can convert 25% of undecided survey respondents