Thank you for having us on this project to determine which option makes more economic and strategic sense for Mickey Tires to pursue. Based on our initial analysis, moving production to China looks more attractive.
First, it’ll enable Mickey Tires to improve their profitability by 5 percentage points, which might be material given likely low-margin nature of tire business.
Secondly, the Chinese factory might offer better access to large international markets that enjoy high number of passenger vehicles like India, China, and other SEA.
Thirdly, location in SEA might offer more diverse supply chain options.
However, there are some substantial risks including increase in tariffs, potential loss in control due to the JV ownership structure, and drop in tire quality.
To move forward with the project, I’d like to create risk mitigation plan, run scenario and sensitivity analyses to strengthen results of financial modeling, and assess the strategic (non-quantifiable) benefits of both options.