Finance Co

ProHub Comment

This case tests structured thinking around market selection using population demographics as the primary growth driver. The candidate must recognize that an aging population favors IRA growth over DC growth, as workers transition from accumulation (DC) to distribution (IRA) phases. The quantitative component requires careful math structuring to calculate total market values by age cohort.

Estimated Time 15 minutes
Difficulty Medium
Source Chicago Booth
50 / 100

Our client, Finance Co, is an international asset manager who concentrates on retirement account administration. They are considering entering the US retirement market. Finance Co cannot decide whether to target the Defined Contribution (DC) market (e.g. 401k) or the Individual Retirement Account (IRA) market.

What is the growth outlook for each of these markets over the next 5 years? Which market is more attractive for Finance Co?

Clarifying Information

  1. Each market contains ~$3 trillion in investable assets and generates about the same amount of margin per dollar of investable assets.
  2. U.S. workers and their employers typically make investments in DC plans while working.
  3. Upon job change or retirement, workers have the option of taking distributions, which remain tax deferred if rolled into an IRA.
  4. Over the life of a U.S. worker, they generally build up assets in DC plans.
  5. During job change or retirement, most workers will ‘roll’ (transfer) DC assets into an IRA.
  6. Transfer may only occur from DC to IRA, not vice versa.
  7. At retirement, people will begin to withdraw their balance over time.