Bob’s brewery faces rising demand for gluten-free cider. The case evaluates whether to expand into cider production through facility renovations. Key analysis involves calculating revenue impacts, identifying success factors beyond financials, and validating production capacity against market demand targets.
Key Insights:
- Revenue impact analysis must account for both new product gains and cannibalization losses (beer production drops 6 cases/day)
- Breakeven analysis requires three-step calculation: annual production capacity → market size needed → market share percentage required
- Excellent candidates recognize the demand validation gap: producing 86,400 bottles annually captures 0.5% of market, but actual demand remains unproven
- Strategic considerations beyond revenue include cost structure, market demand trends, brand cannibalization, and competitive positioning